Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.35
Edge
+8.7%All 370 games
60%223/370 over 0.5
Window avg
0.92
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
85%
17/20
2026
71%
65/91
Avg0.92
StreakW7
Parlay pairs — when Pete Crow-Armstrong clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 69% · n=68 · -238 BetOnline
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=215 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 60% · n=210 · -173 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 370 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Elly De La Cruz CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo