Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.35
Edge
+8.7%Last 5
100%5/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.60
Median
2.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
85%
17/20
2026
71%
65/91
Avg0.92
StreakW7
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .381 | .857 | 28.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .226 | .443 | 25.1% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .429 | .612 | 17.9% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .310 | .310 | 33.3% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .313 | .563 | 32.7% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .341 | .732 | 32.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Pete Crow-Armstrong clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 69% · n=68 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=215 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 60% · n=210 · -159 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -230 | +171 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -222 | +166 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +212 | -208 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo