Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.38
Edge
+23.0%
Last 20
20%4/20 over 3.5
Window avg
2.10
Median
1.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
14%
5/36
Avg1.59
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Pete Crow-Armstrong clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 69% · n=47 · -238 BetOnline
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=127 · -183 DraftKings
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 62% · n=140 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 60% · n=135 · -173 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 3.5

official box scores
1vs AZ05/010vs AZ05/022vs AZ05/031vs CIN05/070@ TEX05/100@ CWS05/174vs HOU05/221vs HOU05/230vs HOU05/240@ PIT05/251vs SF06/0510vs SF06/063@ COL06/112@ SF06/143vs TOR06/195vs TOR06/200@ MIL06/285vs SD07/012vs STL07/032vs STL07/053.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+104-139
Bovada1.5+105-135
BetOnline1.5+109-141

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada

League vs BAL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Miguel Amaya CHC07/073
Alex Bregman CHC07/073
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Spencer Steer CIN07/054
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Sal Stewart CIN07/052
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
TJ Friedl CIN07/050
JJ Bleday CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.444.5001.077.9261.2201.667.939.930.846
onBasePercentage
.222.150.462.296.439.524.333.279.385
AVG
.176.158.417.308.439.524.333.286.385
sluggingPercentage
.235.368.667.654.7801.143.606.667.462
Exit Velo
92.0789.3174.0894.5590.0984.6797.6789.8184.26