Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
+2.0%Last 20
0%0/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/8
L20
0%
0/18
2026
1%
1/80
Avg0.52
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .381 | .857 | 28.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .226 | .443 | 25.1% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .429 | .612 | 17.9% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .310 | .310 | 33.3% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .313 | .563 | 32.7% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .341 | .732 | 32.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Pete Crow-Armstrong clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 73% · n=141 · -230 DraftKings
Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 69% · n=45 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 62% · n=141 · -147 DraftKings
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 66% · n=133 · -183 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 2
official box scoresLine movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsPrizePicks
League vs BAL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Elly De La Cruz CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo