Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.35
Edge
+8.7%
Last 20
80%16/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
83%
19/23
Avg0.92
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Splitter
39.4%
82.5.381.85728.6%
Four-seam FB
21.3%
93.5.226.44325.1%
Sinker
16.9%
92.3.429.61217.9%
Curveball
14.2%
77.2.310.31033.3%
Cutter
5.5%
86.8.313.56332.7%
Slider
2.8%
83.4.341.73232.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Pete Crow-Armstrong clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 69% · n=68 · -238 BetOnline
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=215 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 60% · n=210 · -173 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ TB04/061@ PHI04/132@ PHI04/152vs PHI04/213vs PHI04/220vs PHI04/231@ LAD04/261vs CIN05/051@ ATL05/140vs MIL05/201@ STL05/312vs OAK06/021vs OAK06/031vs SF06/051vs COL06/172vs TOR06/202@ NYM06/240@ MIL06/271vs SD06/302vs STL07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-230+171
BetOnline0.5-222+166

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Alex Bregman CHC07/072
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
JJ Bleday CIN07/050
Eugenio Suárez CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.444.4761.077.9261.2201.667.971.933.846
AVG
.176.150.417.308.439.524.353.295.385
onBasePercentage
.222.143.462.296.439.524.353.289.385
sluggingPercentage
.235.350.667.654.7801.143.618.659.462
Exit Velo
92.0789.3174.0894.5590.0984.6797.8589.9184.26