Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.95
Edge
+11.1%All 91 games
40%36/91 over 1.5
Window avg
1.85
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
40%
10/25
Avg1.85
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .204 | .473 | 29.1% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .111 | .111 | 30.0% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .241 | .611 | 35.9% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Hunter Goodman clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Tyler Freeman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 70% · n=65 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Jake McCarthy o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 69% · n=36 · -192 dabble_us_dfs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=69 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Kyle Karros o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 59% · n=53 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 91 games vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +125 | -123 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs LAD — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage