Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.16
Edge
+14.2%Last 10
29%2/7 over 2 · 3 push
Window avg
3.10
Median
1.5
L5
33%
1/3
L10
29%
2/7
L20
29%
5/17
2026
28%
19/67
Avg1.48
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .279 | .535 | 27.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .326 | .579 | 13.3% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .365 | .500 | 10.3% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .250 | .464 | 39.7% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | .200 | .500 | 18.4% |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .300 | .400 | 26.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ryan O'Hearn clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Tyler Callihan o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 52% · n=8 · -115 dabble_us_dfs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 63% · n=30 · -214 DraftKings
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 70% · base 52% · n=30 · +112 dabble_us_dfs
Endy Rodríguez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 52% · n=8 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 10 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +137 | -183 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +147 | -145 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +140 | -185 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS