Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.03
Edge
-10.6%All 106 games
40%42/106 over 1.5
Window avg
1.53
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
39%
11/28
Avg1.53
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .250 | .438 | 19.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .250 | .408 | 15.2% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .182 | .333 | 20.0% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .192 | .192 | 42.9% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .130 | .130 | 34.9% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .261 | .375 | 14.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Xander Bogaerts clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=106 · -206 DraftKings
Ty France o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 53% · n=20 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Sung-Mun Song o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 44% · n=8 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 106 games vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo