Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.31

Edge

-11.9%

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 20

25%5/20 over 0.5

Window avg

0.25

Median

0.0

20%

1/5

L10

20%

2/10

L20

25%

5/20

2026

20%

2/10

Avg0.40

StreakL4

Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Xander Bogaerts clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=110 · -225 BetMGM

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=120 · -189 DraftKings

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=75 · -145 DraftKings

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=75 · -170 Caesars

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
BetMGM	+140	-190

Runs Scored · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TOR — Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jung Hoo Lee SF	07/08	0	✗
Bryce Eldridge SF	07/08	0	✗
Heliot Ramos SF	07/08	0	✗
Casey Schmitt SF	07/08	0	✗
Luis Arraez SF	07/08	0	✗

Bogaerts's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .412 up-and-in · Weakness: .083 down-and-in

OPS

AVG

onBasePercentage

Exit Velo

sluggingPercentage