Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-12.0%
Last 15
47%7/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.73
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
49%
20/41
Avg0.88
StreakL1

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
2vs OAK05/240vs PHI05/251vs PHI05/261vs PHI05/270vs NYM06/050vs NYM06/061vs NYM06/072vs CIN06/080vs ATL06/220vs ATL06/232vs ATL06/240vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/272vs LAD06/280vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Ty France SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061