Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-12.0%
Last 15
40%6/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.53
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
47%
27/58
Avg0.87
StreakL2

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ STL06/150@ STL06/160@ TEX06/190vs ATL06/220vs ATL06/232vs ATL06/240vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/272@ CHC06/291@ CHC06/301@ LAD07/021@ LAD07/031@ LAD07/040@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061