Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-12.0%
Last 343
5%17/343 over 2.5
Window avg
0.93
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
2%
2/86
Avg0.93
StreakL70

Hitslast 343 vs 2.5

official box scores
0@ PHI06/020@ PHI06/030@ PHI06/040vs NYM06/050vs NYM06/061vs NYM06/072vs CIN06/081@ BAL06/120@ BAL06/130@ BAL06/140@ STL06/150@ STL06/162@ STL06/170@ TEX06/191@ TEX06/202@ TEX06/210vs ATL06/220vs ATL06/232vs ATL06/240vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/272vs LAD06/282@ CHC06/291@ CHC06/300@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/021@ LAD07/031@ LAD07/040@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Ty France SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061