Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-12.0%
Last 250
62%155/250 over 0.5
Window avg
0.89
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
49%
32/65
Avg0.89
StreakL2

Hitslast 250 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs LAD05/180vs LAD05/190vs LAD05/202vs OAK05/241vs PHI05/260@ WSH05/291@ WSH05/310@ PHI06/020@ PHI06/040vs NYM06/050vs NYM06/061vs NYM06/071@ BAL06/120@ BAL06/130@ STL06/150@ STL06/162@ STL06/170@ TEX06/192@ TEX06/210vs ATL06/220vs ATL06/230vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/272vs LAD06/280@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/021@ LAD07/031@ LAD07/040@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Manny Machado SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Manny Machado SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061