Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.03
Edge
-10.6%Last 20
50%10/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.45
Median
1.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
45%
5/11
Avg1.09
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Xander Bogaerts clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=106 · -206 DraftKings
Ty France o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 53% · n=20 · -180 DraftKings
Sung-Mun Song o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 44% · n=8 · -121 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |