Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-12.0%
Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
67%
14/21
Avg1.02
StreakW4

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs DET03/270@ BOS04/043@ BOS04/051@ LAA04/182vs CHC04/270vs CWS05/012vs CWS05/031vs STL05/070@ MIL05/140vs OAK05/220vs PHI05/251vs PHI05/271@ WSH05/300@ PHI06/032vs CIN06/080@ BAL06/141@ TEX06/202vs ATL06/242@ CHC06/291@ CHC06/300.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Manny Machado SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061