Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.32

Edge

-13.5%

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last2025

Trending splits

Last 23

52%12/23 over 0.5

Window avg

0.65

Median

1.0

40%

2/5

L10

70%

7/10

L20

50%

10/20

2026

40%

2/5

Avg0.65

StreakL3

Runs Scored — last 23 vs 0.5

vs AZ only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Xander Bogaerts clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Ty France o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 78% · base 53% · n=23 · -196 BetOnline

Ty France o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 78% · base 53% · n=23 · -192 BetOnline

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=120 · -189 BetOnline

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=75 · -175 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings	+125	-173
BetMGM	+130	-175

Runs Scored · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

BetMGMDabbleDraftKings

League vs AZ — Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Manny Machado SD

07/09

Bogaerts's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .412 up-and-in · Weakness: .083 down-and-in

OPS

AVG

onBasePercentage

Exit Velo

sluggingPercentage