Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-12.0%
Last 15
73%11/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.93
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
33%
1/3
Avg0.90
StreakL1

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

vs AZ only · official box scores
0@ AZ06/141@ AZ06/151vs AZ07/071vs AZ07/081vs AZ07/091vs AZ07/100@ AZ08/042@ AZ08/052@ AZ08/062vs AZ09/261vs AZ09/271vs AZ09/280@ AZ04/251@ AZ04/260vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061