Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-12.0%
Last 20
20%4/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
0%
0/3
Avg0.90
StreakL5

Hitslast 20 vs 1.5

vs AZ only · official box scores
1@ AZ05/041@ AZ05/050@ AZ09/272@ AZ09/280@ AZ06/130@ AZ06/141@ AZ06/151vs AZ07/071vs AZ07/081vs AZ07/091vs AZ07/100@ AZ08/042@ AZ08/052@ AZ08/062vs AZ09/261vs AZ09/271vs AZ09/280@ AZ04/251@ AZ04/260vs AZ07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Manny Machado SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061