Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.36
Edge
-2.5%Last 20
13%2/16 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
13%
2/16
2026
33%
1/3
Avg0.30
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 31.6% | 92.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 24.0% | 86.1 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 19.2% | 84.2 | — | — | — |
| Four-seam FB | 13.2% | 92.4 | — | — | — |
| Cutter | 12.0% | 89.9 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jonatan Clase clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 76% · n=10 · -172 DraftKings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 68% · n=10 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 60% · n=8 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 70% · base 54% · n=10 · +176 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +209 | -208 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| George Springer TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS