Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jonatan Clase

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.39
Edge
-0.3%
Last 30
33%10/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.43
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
50%
1/2
Avg0.35
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2
Changeup
24.0%
86.1
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4
Cutter
12.0%
89.9

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jonatan Clase clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 78% · n=10 · -172 DraftKings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=10 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 62% · n=8 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 70% · base 55% · n=10 · +176 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ LAA07/110@ TB09/220vs BOS09/232vs BOS09/251vs MIA09/270@ SEA05/090@ SEA05/110vs TB05/140vs DET05/160vs DET05/181vs SD05/211vs SD05/220@ TB05/230@ TB05/250vs OAK05/310vs PHI06/040@ MIN06/060@ MIN06/071@ STL06/091@ STL06/100@ PHI06/150vs AZ06/171vs AZ06/190vs CWS06/202@ CLE06/260@ BOS06/270@ BOS06/280@ BOS06/290@ SEA07/042@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+209-208

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Andrés Giménez TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Nathan Lukes TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.000--.500-4.000.000--
Exit Velo
---93.25-99.8973.96--
AVG
.000--.500-1.000.000--
onBasePercentage
.000--.500-1.000.000--
OPS
.000--1.000-5.000.000--