Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Spencer Arrighetti

Houston Astros · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
5.50
Edge
+10.8%
Trending splitsDay 80%(5)Night 56%(9)
Last 10
70%7/10 over 4.5
Window avg
5.40
Median
5.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
64%
9/14
Avg5.62
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Spencer Arrighetti clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=28 · -240 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 10 vs 4.5

official box scores
5@ CIN05/095vs TEX05/155@ CHC05/223@ TEX05/283vs PIT06/037@ LAA06/087@ KC06/148vs CLE06/207@ DET06/264vs TB07/034.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-131+102

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Tatsuya Imai HOU07/073
Mike Burrows HOU07/063
Bubba Chandler PIT07/050
Braxton Ashcraft PIT07/047
Mitch Keller PIT07/031
Payton Tolle BOS07/015
Connelly Early BOS06/305
Ranger Suarez BOS06/298
Kyle Bradish BAL06/282
Brandon Young BAL06/278
Trevor Rogers BAL06/267
Cristopher Sánchez PHI06/256
Aaron Nola PHI06/245
Jesús Luzardo PHI06/2313