Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
5.50
Edge
+10.8%All 22 games
77%17/22 over 4.5
Window avg
6.23
Median
6.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
67%
4/6
Avg6.23
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Spencer Arrighetti clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=28 · -240 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — all 22 games vs 4.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs WSH — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| Tatsuya Imai HOU | 07/07 | 3 | ✗ |
| Mike Burrows HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✗ |
| Bubba Chandler PIT | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Ashcraft PIT | 07/04 | 7 | ✓ |
| Mitch Keller PIT | 07/03 | 1 | ✗ |
| Payton Tolle BOS | 07/01 | 5 | ✓ |
| Connelly Early BOS | 06/30 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ranger Suarez BOS | 06/29 | 8 | ✓ |
| Kyle Bradish BAL | 06/28 | 2 | ✗ |
| Brandon Young BAL | 06/27 | 8 | ✓ |
| Trevor Rogers BAL | 06/26 | 7 | ✓ |
| Cristopher Sánchez PHI | 06/25 | 6 | ✓ |
| Aaron Nola PHI | 06/24 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jesús Luzardo PHI | 06/23 | 13 | ✓ |