Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Spencer Arrighetti

Houston Astros · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
5.50
Edge
+10.8%
Last 20
35%7/20 over 5.5
Window avg
5.10
Median
5.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
38%
3/8
Avg5.14
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Spencer Arrighetti clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=28 · -240 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 20 vs 5.5

away only · official box scores
6@ MIN07/073@ OAK07/2213@ BOS08/106@ BAL08/2211@ PHI08/280@ CIN09/043@ SD09/164@ CLE09/273@ MIN04/055@ MIA08/065@ DET08/182@ BAL08/243@ CLE04/204@ BOS05/025@ CIN05/095@ CHC05/223@ TEX05/287@ LAA06/087@ KC06/147@ DET06/265.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-131+102

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Tatsuya Imai HOU07/073
Mike Burrows HOU07/063
Bubba Chandler PIT07/050
Braxton Ashcraft PIT07/047
Mitch Keller PIT07/031
Payton Tolle BOS07/015
Connelly Early BOS06/305
Ranger Suarez BOS06/298
Kyle Bradish BAL06/282
Brandon Young BAL06/278
Trevor Rogers BAL06/267
Cristopher Sánchez PHI06/256
Aaron Nola PHI06/245
Jesús Luzardo PHI06/2313