Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Spencer Arrighetti

Houston Astros · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
5.50
Edge
+10.8%
Trending splitsvs LHP 91%(11)
Last 20
84%16/19 over 3 · 1 push
Window avg
6.55
Median
6.5
L5
100%
5/5
L10
89%
8/9
L20
84%
16/19
2026
100%
5/5
Avg6.52
StreakW5

Parlay pairs — when Spencer Arrighetti clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=28 · -240 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 20 vs 3

official box scores
7@ OAK05/258@ SEA05/302vs DET06/152@ CWS06/2010vs COL06/266@ MIN07/077vs TEX07/138vs LAD07/2812vs TB08/0413@ BOS08/1011@ PHI08/286vs LAA09/223@ MIN04/055@ MIA08/062@ BAL08/248vs NYY04/264@ BOS05/025@ CIN05/095@ CHC05/227@ KC06/143

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-131+102

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Tatsuya Imai HOU07/073
Mike Burrows HOU07/063
Bubba Chandler PIT07/050
Braxton Ashcraft PIT07/047
Mitch Keller PIT07/031
Payton Tolle BOS07/015
Connelly Early BOS06/305
Ranger Suarez BOS06/298
Kyle Bradish BAL06/282
Brandon Young BAL06/278
Trevor Rogers BAL06/267
Cristopher Sánchez PHI06/256
Aaron Nola PHI06/245
Jesús Luzardo PHI06/2313