Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jackson Holliday

Baltimore Orioles · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.48
Edge
-18.5%
Last 158
56%89/158 over 0.5
Window avg
0.79
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
54%
13/24
Avg0.79
StreakL4

Hitslast 158 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ CWS09/150@ CWS09/160vs NYY09/190vs NYY09/200vs TB09/230@ NYY09/260@ TB05/192vs DET05/222vs TB05/260vs TB05/271vs TOR05/282vs TOR05/291@ BOS06/031@ TOR06/050vs SEA06/081vs SEA06/091vs SEA06/101vs SEA06/110vs SD06/120@ SEA06/161@ SEA06/171@ LAD06/190@ LAD06/201vs WSH06/260vs WSH06/271vs CWS06/290vs CWS06/300@ CIN07/030@ CIN07/040vs CHC07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-154+116
BetOnline0.5-167+128

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CHC Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Jordan Walker STL07/051
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
José Fermín STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.000.400.286.125.083.125.182.333.200
OPS
.0001.5001.000.500.250.625.364.615.333
Exit Velo
87.9596.0092.9185.8890.9691.0573.0790.4498.55
sluggingPercentage
.0001.100.714.375.167.500.182.333.200
onBasePercentage
.000.400.286.125.083.125.182.308.167