Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jackson Holliday

Baltimore Orioles · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.48
Edge
-18.5%
Last 20
0%0/13 over 1 · 7 push
Window avg
0.35
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/7
L20
0%
0/13
2026
12%
3/26
Avg0.80
StreakL6

Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
41.9%
93.7.158.36832.6%
Changeup
17.8%
87.7.100.10033.3%
Slider
11.1%
86.0.235.41235.3%
Sweeper
9.2%
83.0.000.00022.2%
Sinker
9.1%
92.4.067.06720.8%
Cutter
6.0%
87.0.5001.2500.0%
Curveball
5.0%
79.8.200.20055.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
1vs SEA06/110vs SD06/120vs SD06/130vs SD06/140@ SEA06/161@ SEA06/171@ SEA06/181@ LAD06/190@ LAD06/200@ LAA06/241vs WSH06/260vs WSH06/271vs WSH06/281vs CWS06/290vs CWS06/300vs CWS07/010@ CIN07/030@ CIN07/040@ CIN07/050vs CHC07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-154+116
BetOnline0.5-167+128
dabble_us_dfs0.5-128+129

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs CHC Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Alec Burleson STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Jordan Walker STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
Lars Nootbaar STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.0001.5001.000.500.231.625.333.615.333
AVG
.000.400.286.125.077.125.167.333.200
onBasePercentage
.000.400.286.125.077.125.167.308.167
sluggingPercentage
.0001.100.714.375.154.500.167.333.200
Exit Velo
87.9596.0092.9185.8890.9691.0575.2390.4498.55