Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.48
Edge
-18.5%Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
46%
13/28
Avg0.78
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .158 | .368 | 32.6% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .100 | .100 | 33.3% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .235 | .412 | 35.3% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .000 | .000 | 22.2% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .067 | .067 | 20.8% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .500 | 1.250 | 0.0% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .200 | .200 | 55.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -154 | +116 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -167 | +128 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -128 | +129 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo