Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.39
Edge
-8.0%Last 5
20%1/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
25%
3/12
Avg0.38
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .158 | .368 | 32.6% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .100 | .100 | 33.3% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .235 | .412 | 35.3% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .000 | .000 | 22.2% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .067 | .067 | 20.8% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .500 | 1.250 | 0.0% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .200 | .200 | 55.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Holliday clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 69% · n=16 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 67% · n=16 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=10 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=10 · -185 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +151 | -149 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CHC — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
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