Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.66
Edge
-1.7%Trending splitsvs LHP 29%(7)
Last 15
53%8/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.67
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
47%
20/43
Avg0.69
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .067 | .067 | 36.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .225 | .325 | 13.5% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .000 | .000 | 28.6% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .133 | .333 | 11.5% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .278 | .389 | 35.0% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .231 | .231 | 14.3% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .176 | .235 | 38.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Drew Millas clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=37 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=16 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 47% · n=16 · +119 dabble_us_dfs
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=16 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -111 | +112 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo