Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.45
Edge
-0.4%Last 20
10%2/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
7%
3/43
Avg0.40
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .067 | .067 | 36.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .225 | .325 | 13.5% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .000 | .000 | 28.6% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .133 | .333 | 11.5% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .278 | .389 | 35.0% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .231 | .231 | 14.3% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .176 | .235 | 38.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Drew Millas clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 56% · n=12 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
James Wood o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 61% · n=21 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 56% · n=10 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 70% · base 47% · n=10 · +119 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +173 | -169 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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