Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Romy Gonzalez

Boston Red Sox · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.46
Edge
+6.7%
Last 10
30%3/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.50
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
50%
3/6
Avg1.32
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
26.0%
92.7.556.88914.3%
Sinker
17.9%
90.8.200.20014.3%
Changeup
14.8%
88.7
Slider
14.5%
85.3
Cutter
13.5%
87.0
Curveball
13.3%
80.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Romy Gonzalez clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Masataka Yoshida o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 65% · n=32 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=66 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 54% · n=29 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 54% · n=29 · -108 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 10 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs DET09/260@ NYY09/300@ NYY10/011@ NYY10/020vs NYY06/281vs WSH06/301vs WSH07/015@ LAA07/034@ LAA07/042@ CWS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+155-204

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.0002.667-1.000.333.000.000.000.000
Exit Velo
69.06100.55-81.4190.38100.50-84.4777.14
AVG
.0001.000-.500.333.000.000.000.000
onBasePercentage
.0001.000-.500.333.000.000.000.000
OPS
.0003.667-1.500.667.000.000.000.000