Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Romy Gonzalez

Boston Red Sox · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.96
Edge
+0.8%
Last 15
7%1/15 over 2.5
Window avg
1.07
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
17%
1/6
Avg0.83
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
26.0%
92.7.556.88914.3%
Sinker
17.9%
90.8.200.20014.3%
Changeup
14.8%
88.7
Slider
14.5%
85.3
Cutter
13.5%
87.0
Curveball
13.3%
80.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Romy Gonzalez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jarren Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 69% · n=107 · -184 DraftKings
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 54% · n=46 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 61% · base 54% · n=46 · -108 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 2.5

official box scores
2@ TB09/202@ TB09/211@ TOR09/232@ TOR09/240@ TOR09/251vs DET09/260@ NYY09/300@ NYY10/011@ NYY10/020vs NYY06/281vs WSH06/301vs WSH07/013@ LAA07/031@ LAA07/041@ CWS07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-186+139
BetOnline0.5-196+149

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.0002.667-1.000.333.000.000.000.000
Exit Velo
69.06100.55-81.4190.38100.50-84.4777.14
AVG
.0001.000-.500.333.000.000.000.000
onBasePercentage
.0001.000-.500.333.000.000.000.000
OPS
.0003.667-1.500.667.000.000.000.000