Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pedro Pagés

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-4.1%
Trending splitsvs LHP 33%(15)
Last 109
60%65/109 over 0.5
Window avg
0.73
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
55%
12/22
Avg0.73
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Pedro Pagés clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=68 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 109 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
1@ CIN08/301@ SEA09/092@ SEA09/101@ MIL09/130@ MIL09/141@ SF09/221@ SF09/240@ CHC09/260@ DET04/041@ DET04/050@ WSH04/071@ HOU04/171@ HOU04/190@ MIA04/211@ MIA04/221@ PIT04/271@ PIT04/282@ PIT04/300@ SD05/070@ SD05/090@ SD05/101@ OAK05/130@ CIN05/231@ MIL05/251@ MIL05/273@ MIN06/130@ KC06/181@ ATL07/020@ CHC07/030@ CHC07/040.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5+101-134

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL07/072
Iván Herrera STL07/072
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Nathan Church STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070