Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pedro Pagés

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-4.1%
Last 10
40%4/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
48%
12/25
Avg0.70
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Pedro Pagés clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=68 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs KC05/151vs PIT05/190@ CIN05/230vs CHC05/310@ KC06/180vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/241@ ATL07/020@ CHC07/041vs MIL07/060.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5+101-134

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Alec Burleson STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070