Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pedro Pagés

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-4.1%
Last 88
59%52/88 over 0.5
Window avg
0.81
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
57%
12/21
Avg0.81
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Pedro Pagés clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=68 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 88 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs ATL07/130vs SD07/272@ LAD08/062vs COL08/130@ TB08/241vs OAK09/010vs SF09/070@ MIL09/140@ CHC09/261vs TB03/262vs TB03/290vs NYM04/010@ DET04/041vs CLE04/151@ HOU04/191@ MIA04/223vs SEA04/252@ PIT04/300vs LAD05/030vs MIL05/060@ SD05/100vs KC05/162vs PIT05/211@ MIL05/251@ MIL05/270vs CIN06/063@ MIN06/130vs SD06/171vs MIA06/280@ CHC07/030.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5+101-134

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL07/072
Iván Herrera STL07/072
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070