Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pedro Pagés

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-4.1%
Last 30
10%3/30 over 1.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
11%
5/46
Avg0.74
StreakL9

Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
58.7%
95.0.147.32419.6%
Slurve
30.4%
82.2
Changeup
9.3%
86.3.200.30045.0%
Sinker
1.7%
94.8.409.59119.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Pedro Pagés clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=68 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ PIT04/271@ PIT04/282@ PIT04/301vs LAD05/010vs LAD05/030vs MIL05/040vs MIL05/060@ SD05/070@ SD05/090@ SD05/101@ OAK05/131vs KC05/150vs KC05/161vs PIT05/192vs PIT05/210@ CIN05/231@ MIL05/251@ MIL05/270vs CHC05/310vs CIN06/063@ MIN06/130vs SD06/170@ KC06/180vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/241vs MIA06/281@ ATL07/020@ CHC07/030@ CHC07/041vs MIL07/061.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5+101-134
PrizePicks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsPrizePicks

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.000.000.667.500.556.714.444.600.091
Exit Velo
78.4593.1798.3578.5897.3185.3087.1993.5386.36
AVG
.000.000.333.200.333.357.444.400.091
onBasePercentage
.000.000.333.182.300.357.444.400.091
OPS
.000.0001.000.636.8001.071.8891.000.182