Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pedro Pagés

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-4.1%
Last 20
17%2/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/2
L10
14%
1/7
L20
17%
2/12
2026
19%
5/27
Avg0.74
Streak

Parlay pairs — when Pedro Pagés clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=68 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
1@ OAK05/131vs KC05/150vs KC05/161vs PIT05/192vs PIT05/210@ CIN05/231@ MIL05/251@ MIL05/270vs CHC05/310vs CIN06/063@ MIN06/130vs SD06/170@ KC06/180vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/241vs MIA06/281@ ATL07/020@ CHC07/030@ CHC07/041vs MIL07/061

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5+101-134

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070