Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-4.1%Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
61%
19/31
Avg0.75
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .147 | .324 | 19.6% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .200 | .300 | 45.0% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .409 | .591 | 19.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Pedro Pagés clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=68 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsPrizePicks
League vs MIL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS