Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pedro Pagés

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-4.1%
Last 79
56%44/79 over 0.5
Window avg
0.73
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
33%
5/15
Avg0.73
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Pedro Pagés clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=68 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 79 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs CHC06/261@ CLE06/290@ PIT06/300@ CHC07/050@ CHC07/060vs WSH07/091@ COL07/212vs CHC08/081vs CHC08/102vs COL08/133vs NYY08/161@ CIN08/300vs OAK09/030@ MIL09/142vs CIN09/162vs TB03/291vs BOS04/100vs BOS04/111@ PIT04/270vs LAD05/030vs KC05/160vs CHC05/310vs CIN06/063@ MIN06/130@ KC06/180vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/240@ CHC07/030@ CHC07/041vs MIL07/060.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5+101-134

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL07/072
Iván Herrera STL07/072
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070