Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.15
Edge
-6.3%Last 20
15%3/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.15
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
14%
3/21
Avg0.10
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .237 | .316 | 19.3% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .304 | .609 | 10.8% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .333 | .778 | 35.7% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | .333 | 1.167 | 42.9% |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .167 | .667 | 37.5% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .167 | .250 | 12.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Randal Grichuk clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 65% · n=8 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 88% · base 62% · n=8 · -137 DK Pick6
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 77% · n=8 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 88% · base 77% · n=8 · -196 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +404 | -400 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
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