Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.58
Edge
-18.2%Last 20
17%2/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/4
L20
17%
2/12
2026
17%
6/35
Avg0.63
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .237 | .316 | 19.3% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .304 | .609 | 10.8% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .333 | .778 | 35.7% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | .333 | 1.167 | 42.9% |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .167 | .667 | 37.5% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .167 | .250 | 12.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Randal Grichuk clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 65% · n=25 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 67% · n=20 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 67% · n=20 · -185 BetOnline
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 70% · base 62% · n=23 · -137 DK Pick6
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -196 | +146 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -192 | +146 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -167 | +170 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs BOS — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vaughn Grissom LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo