Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.24
Edge
+19.9%Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.45
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
65%
28/43
Avg0.95
StreakW3
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .056 | .056 | 29.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .238 | .310 | 22.0% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .364 | .364 | 16.0% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .235 | .235 | 10.4% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .255 | .345 | 27.1% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .500 | .500 | 23.1% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .185 | .259 | 32.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nasim Nuñez clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 61% · n=53 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 57% · n=30 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Foster Griffin o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=15 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -108 | +108 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 7 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS