Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.54
Edge
-0.3%Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
35%
28/80
Avg0.36
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .056 | .056 | 29.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .238 | .310 | 22.0% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .364 | .364 | 16.0% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .235 | .235 | 10.4% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .255 | .345 | 27.1% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .500 | .500 | 23.1% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .185 | .259 | 32.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nasim Nuñez clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Daylen Lile o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 70% · n=31 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 57% · n=16 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
James Wood o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=40 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=32 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +139 | -139 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS