Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.97
Edge
+12.4%Last 10
13%1/8 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
13%
1/8
L20
8%
1/12
2026
3%
2/67
Avg0.68
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .056 | .056 | 29.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .238 | .310 | 22.0% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .364 | .364 | 16.0% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .235 | .235 | 10.4% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .255 | .345 | 27.1% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .500 | .500 | 23.1% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .185 | .259 | 32.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nasim Nuñez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 61% · n=53 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 57% · n=30 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Foster Griffin o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=15 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 10 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -114 | -116 |
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -108 | +108 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfsDK Pick6
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS