Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.93
Edge
-4.1%
Last 15
73%11/15 over 0.5
Window avg
1.07
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
75%
43/57
Avg0.89
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
58.7%
95.0.279.52321.3%
Slurve
30.4%
82.2.143.14320.0%
Changeup
9.3%
86.3.325.57539.7%
Sinker
1.7%
94.8.258.42419.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs SD06/162@ KC06/182@ KC06/190vs AZ06/222vs AZ06/231vs AZ06/241vs MIA06/261vs MIA06/270@ ATL06/301@ ATL07/012@ ATL07/021@ CHC07/040vs MIL07/062vs MIL07/071vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-222+164
dabble_us_dfs0.5-200+203

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Masyn Winn STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.313.429.313.471.313.235.308.325.313
AVG
.333.462.313.471.313.235.308.325.313
Exit Velo
93.8295.9897.5598.60100.6592.88103.9797.3489.14
sluggingPercentage
.733.769.5001.176.750.294.692.550.313
OPS
1.0001.143.8131.6471.063.5291.000.875.625