Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.19
Edge
+0.4%Last 5
0%0/3 over 1 · 2 push
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/7
L20
0%
0/17
2026
0%
0/67
Avg0.13
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .279 | .523 | 21.3% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | .143 | .143 | 20.0% |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .325 | .575 | 39.7% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .258 | .424 | 19.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jordan Walker clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 66% · n=19 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 65% · n=31 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 5 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +498 | -476 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIL — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Jordan STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS