Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.68
Edge
+10.5%Last 21
29%6/21 over 1.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
38%
3/8
Avg0.95
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Jordan Walker clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 61% · n=72 · -175 DraftKings
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=83 · -231 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 21 vs 1.5
vs MIL only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs MIL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Jordan STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |