Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jacob Young

Washington Nationals · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
Last 15
47%7/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
55%
43/78
Avg0.67
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Curveball
33.0%
76.6.357.64333.3%
Four-seam FB
29.7%
92.4.233.46616.1%
Sweeper
12.5%
79.3.087.13042.9%
Sinker
10.1%
92.1.281.3446.9%
Changeup
7.4%
84.1.167.33326.9%
Cutter
6.0%
87.4.313.56318.4%
Slider
1.2%
82.2.159.25025.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jacob Young clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Daylen Lile o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=67 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs KC06/151vs KC06/160@ TB06/190@ TB06/201vs PHI06/222vs PHI06/230vs PHI06/250@ BAL06/260@ BAL06/271@ BAL06/282@ BOS06/291@ BOS06/301@ BOS07/010vs HOU07/060vs HOU07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs HOU Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Daylen Lile WSH07/073
James Wood WSH07/071
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/071
Curtis Mead WSH07/071
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/071
CJ Abrams WSH07/070
Luis García Jr. WSH07/070
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/070
Luis García Jr. WSH07/063
Drew Millas WSH07/062
Curtis Mead WSH07/061
Dylan Crews WSH07/061
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/061
CJ Abrams WSH07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.095.273.167.192.290.256.222.321.200
Exit Velo
86.5994.7794.3490.3190.8385.8187.7895.9282.72
onBasePercentage
.095.273.167.192.290.256.222.321.231
sluggingPercentage
.381.545.333.346.323.385.333.571.240
OPS
.476.818.500.538.613.641.556.893.462