Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.62
Edge
-10.6%Last 217
56%121/217 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
52%
26/50
Avg0.75
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .357 | .643 | 33.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .233 | .466 | 16.1% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .087 | .130 | 42.9% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .281 | .344 | 6.9% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .167 | .333 | 26.9% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .313 | .563 | 18.4% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .159 | .250 | 25.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jacob Young clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Foster Griffin o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 89% · base 64% · n=9 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Daylen Lile o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=76 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Keibert Ruiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=119 · -167 DraftKings
Curtis Mead o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 58% · n=41 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 217 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS