Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego Padres · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.22
Edge
+2.8%
Trending splitsAway 68%(40)
Last 179
70%125/179 over 0.5
Window avg
1.03
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
76%
34/45
Avg1.03
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 57% · n=157 · -148 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 179 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
1vs CHC04/293vs CWS05/010vs CWS05/022vs STL05/070vs STL05/081vs STL05/090vs STL05/101vs LAD05/182vs LAD05/191vs LAD05/201vs OAK05/220vs OAK05/233vs OAK05/242vs PHI05/251vs PHI05/262vs PHI05/271vs NYM06/052vs NYM06/061vs NYM06/070vs CIN06/084vs CIN06/092vs CIN06/101vs ATL06/222vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/242vs LAD06/261vs LAD06/271vs LAD06/280vs AZ07/061vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-258+190

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Manny Machado SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061